Sunday, 27 July 2008

A good day yesterday

First off a correction my error re yesterday's blog Willie ever won at 5/4 so was a losing lay but very minimal damage but the facts are he won so an adjustment to the blog for Saturday apologies.
The Shakespeare lays did their thing and popped up a 16/1 winner in Station place as they do double figure winners are always just around the corner seemedly if you by rule of thumb allowed 15 plus successful lay bets then started to back it may turn you a profit but time is generally against me so i put them up for personal interpretation and choices do need to be made here.
The Fibionacci bet came good again at 2/1 with Pipedreamer, Duke of marmalade a losing lay or winning back bet at 4/6 was a close call.
The Target races 3 out of 6 favourites won and a couple of outsider bets came good at 6/1 and 9/1 and check how many placed only so all in all not a bad day.The experimental bets have given another couple of losers so more positives to be taken here and after a week analyzing over 160 races they will be refined further ,reducing bets but maintaining the 75% strike rate and reducing liabilities so i am quite hopeful with these bets "Long Term".
They have also thrown up a "Backing " plan working too level stakes and may be very good applying the Fibionacci staking plan to increase profits even further so you must decide which way you go and for the future i will be looking to "NAP" some selections under another criteria which looks quite hopeful which seem to be averaging around the 6/1 + mark watch this space an 8/1 winner and losers yesterday but a profit so again another positive.
A quieter day today so down to business.

Shakespeare lays(too lay or not too lay)
3.50 Dream lodge
5.00 Suede

The day's most questionable horses too back or lay.

Fibionacci bets:
4.00 Basque beauty 1 point

Banker bet:
3.50 Calming influence 8 points 13/8 available generally 6/4.

One a day lay:
2.50 Oldjoesaid

Target races:
Favourites:
2.05 Raedah
5.00 Suede
4.00 Basque beauty
1.55 Sloop john b
3.05 Claret and amber
4.50 Tartan gigha

Value bets:
2.05 Chimbonda
5.00 Mischief lady
4.00 Spring season
1.55 Fitzolini
3.05 Royal applord
4.50 Beauchamp wizard

Outsiders:
2.05 Doric echo/Magic cat
5.00 Canyon colours
4.00 Orange river
1.55 El bobby
3.05 Bold indian
4.50 Kama night

Experimental lays:
4.45 Curragh Spira
5.30 Mormeatic/Mr wolf

Although this system is mechanical when it points towards laying A O' Brien horses be wary!
A couple of others to keep an eye on :
3.15 Street life
5.30 Just joey

Enjoy the last day of the weekend and hopefully the sunshine.

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